Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards novels and roverhappinessed satisfyed thrawout the year, featuring the follotriumphg: the official foreseeions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety greater awards editor Clayton Davis. The foreseeion pages mirror the current standings in the race and do not mirror personal likeences for any individual contender. As other createal (and increateal) polls propose, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are refreshd every Thursday.
Visit the foreseeion pages for the esteemive ceremonies via the joins below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2025 Oscars Predictions:
Best Supporting Actor
Weekly Commentary (Updated Sept. 23, 2024): This year’s helping actor contenders experience a bit skinnyner than normal, but that could easily change before the Academy completes its five nominees. With so many potential contenders still paemploying to originate their tag, it’s protected to say that surpascends could be lurking around the corner.
We’re still paemploying on some official categruesome validateations and first sees for films appreciate Kieran Culkin’s turn in “A Real Pain,” Gabriel LaBelle in “Saturday Night,” and the ever-active Denzel Washington, who’s suiting up for his villainous role in “Gladiator II.” John Magaro and Peter Sarsgaard are also in the combine for their toil in “September 5,” depending on where the actors determine to campaign.
In fractureing novels, Variety can now validate that both Mike Faist and Josh O’Connor, the heartthrobs from Luca Guadagnino’s tennis-throuple cherish story “Challengers,” have determined to surrender as helping actors. This could comprise some unawaited heat to the competition. With their palpable chemistry on screen, their double entry might be the encourage the helping actor race needs this year.
Also in the triumphgs is Edward Norton’s carry outance in James Manggreater’s “A Complete Ununderstandn.” There is no word yet on whether Norton’s portrayal will have the impact we await, but it’s definitely worth retaining an eye on with three previous noms (“Primal Fear,” “American History X” and “Birdman”). Meanwhile, fans of the “Wicked” musical changeation will be willing to see if Jonathan Bailey and Jeff Ggreaterblum can go in the conversation.
In the uncomferventtime, Clarence Maclin persists to pop up in the awards talkion for his sincreatear carry outance in Greg Kwedar’s prison drama “Sing Sing.” At the same time, we can’t dissee Stanley Tucci, a genuine veteran, who’s deinhabitring what could be one of his best carry outances yet in Edward Berger’s thriller “Conclave,” which premiered at Telluride. Tucci’s a recognizable face at the Oscars, and the Academy will awaited not miss the chance to acunderstandledge his toil.
Then there’s Guy Pearce, whose buzzworthy role in Brady Corbet’s epic “The Brutacatalog” could remind us why he’s a Hollywood mainstay. With a runtime that spans four hours, it’ll be fascinating to see if the Academy’s Actors Branch has the patience (and the time) to appreciate the scale of his carry outance brimmingy.
Veteran actor John Turturro, who has been disseeed for an Oscar nod despite standout carry outances in films appreciate “Quiz Show” (1994), could finassociate discover himself in the combine for “The Room Next Door.” Turturro carry outs Damian, a fervent climate change help and createer cherishr to both women in the film (Julianne Moore and Tilda Striumphton), deinhabitring a climactic scene proximate the end that could defended his spot in the conversation.
Finassociate, don’t count out Brian Tyree Henry. Known for conveying depth and emotion to every role he apshows on, Henry could land another nomination, this time for his portrayal of Jason Crutchfield, coach to Olympic boxing champion Claressa Shields, in the inspirational film “The Fire Inside.” With past Oscar-nominated boxing coaches appreciate Paul Giamatti in “Cinderella Man” and Bencouragess Meredith in “Rocky,” Henry could discover himself combineing the ranks of memorable mentors who getd the Academy’s invitation.
As always, the helping actor categruesome remains unawaited. With a combine of recognizable faces and exciting novel contenders, this year is shaping up to be fascinating. Check out the refreshd rankings below.
The 97th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 2. The brimming rankings are below. All movie catalogings, titles, and distributors are not final and are subject to change.
** denotices the carry outer could be campaigned in direct or helping, and/or the film could uncover in 2025.
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Image Credit: Focus Features And the Predicted Nominees Are
Rank Percreateer & Film 1 Denzel Washington — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) ** 2 Stanley Tucci — “Conclave” (Focus Features) 3 Kieran Culkin — “A Real Pain” (Searchairy Pictures) ** 4 Guy Pearce — “The Brutacatalog” (A24) 5 John Turturro — “The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics) Oscars: Best Actor in a Supporting Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Image Credit: Courtesy Everett Collection Next in Line
Rank Percreateer & Film 6 Gabriel LaBelle — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures) ** 7 Clarence Maclin — “Sing Sing” (A24) 8 Peter Sarsgaard — “September 5” (Paramount Pictures) 9 Edward Norton — “A Complete Ununderstandn” (Searchairy Pictures) 10 Ray Fisher — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix) Oscars: Best Actor in a Supporting Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Image Credit: TIFF Other Contenders
Rank Percreateer & Film 11 Yura Borisov — “Anora” (Neon) 12 Selton Mello — “I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics) 13 Samuel L. Jackson — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix) 14 Lamorne Morris — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures) 15 Jeremy Strong — “The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment) 16 John Magaro — “September 5” (Paramount Pictures) 17 Brian Tyree Henry — “The Fire Inside” (Amazon MGM) 18 Josh O’Connor — “Challengers” (Amazon MGM) 19 Jason Schwartzman — “Queer” (A24) 20 Mark Eydelshteyn — “Anora” (Neon) Oscars: Best Actor in a Supporting Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Image Credit: Yannis Drakoulidis Also In Contention
Rank Percreateer & Film 21 Pedro Pascal — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) 22 Ben Chaplin — “September 5” (Paramount Pictures) 23 John Lithgow — “Conclave” (Focus Features) 24 Tom Hardy — “The Bikeriders” (Focus Features) 25 Tommy Dewey — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures) 26 Jay O. Sanders — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix) 27 Drew Starkey — “Queer” (A24) 28 Mike Faist — “Challengers” (Amazon MGM) 29 Carlos Diehz — “Conclave” (Focus Features) 30 Bill Skarsgård — “Nosferatu” (Focus Features) Oscars: Best Actor in a Supporting Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Eligible Percreateers (Best Supporting Actor)
Image Credit: ©Warner Bros/Courtesy Everett Collection ** This catalog is inend and not yet completed. Not all films have distribution or free dates. All are subject to change.
- Yura Borisov — “Anora” (Neon)
- Mark Eydelshteyn — “Anora” (Neon)
- Jeremy Strong — “The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment)
- Antonio Banderas — “Babygirl” (A24)
- Harris Dickinson — “Babygirl” (A24)
- Jean Reno — “Babygirl” (A24)
- Tom Hardy — “The Bikeriders” (Focus Features) **
- Barry Keoghan — “Bird” (Mubi) **
- Franz Rogowski — “Bird” (Mubi) **
- Harris Dickinson — “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
- Elliott Heffernan — “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
- Stephen Graham — “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
- Alessandro Nivola — “The Brutacatalog” (A24)
- Guy Pearce — “The Brutacatalog” (A24)
- Mike Faist — “Challengers” (Amazon MGM)
- Josh O’Connor — “Challengers” (Amazon MGM)
- Wagner Moura — “Civil War” (A24)
- Jesse Plemons — “Civil War” (A24)
- Boyd Holbrook — “A Complete Ununderstandn” (Searchairy Pictures)
- Edward Norton — “A Complete Ununderstandn” (Searchairy Pictures)
- John Lithgow — “Conclave” (Focus Features)
- Stanley Tucci — “Conclave” (Focus Features)
- Sean Penn — “Dcompriseio” (Sony Pictures Classics) **
- Hugh Jackman — “Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios) **
- Wesley Snipes — “Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios)
- Channing Tatum — “Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios)
- Adam Peincendiarism — “A Different Man” (A24)
- Javier Bardem — “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
- Josh Brolin — “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
- Austin Butler — “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
- Christopher Walken — “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
- Édgar Ramírez — “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
- Michael Shannon — “The End” (Neon) **
- Shea Whigham — “Fancy Dance” (Apple Original Films)
- Brian Tyree Henry — “The Fire Inside” (Amazon MGM)
- Jude Law — “Firebrand” (Roadside Attractions) **
- Chris Hemsworth — “Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga” (Warner Bros.)
- Pedro Pascal — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
- Joseph Quinn — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
- Denzel Washington — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) **
- David Webber — “Hard Truths” (Bleecker Street)
- Paul Bettany — “Here” (Sony Pictures)
- Jovan Adepo — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix)
- Jay O. Sanders — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix)
- Michael Angarano — “Horizon: An American Saga – Chapter One” (Warner Bros.)
- Selton Mello — “I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Ryan Reyngreaters — “IF” (Paramount Pictures)
- Brendan Gleeson — “Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.)
- Harry Lawtey — “Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.)
- J.K. Simmons — “Juror No. 2” (Warner Bros.)
- Kiefer Sutherland — “Juror No. 2” (Warner Bros.)
- Joe Alwyn — “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchairy Pictures)
- Mamoudou Athie — “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchairy Pictures)
- Willem Dafoe — “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchairy Pictures)
- Andy Samberg — “Lee” (Roadside Attractions)
- Mark Hamill — “The Life of Chuck” (No U.S. Distribution)
- Pierfrancesco Favino — “Maria” (Netflix)
- Kodi Smit-McPhee — “Maria” (Netflix)
- Giancarlo Esposito — “Megalopolis” (Lionsgate)
- Shia LaBeouf — “Megalopolis” (Lionsgate)
- Jon Voight — “Megalopolis” (Lionsgate)
- Daveed Diggs — “Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion)
- Scott McNairy — “Nightbitch” (Searchairy Pictures)
- Willem Dafoe — “Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
- Bill Skarsgård — “Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson — “Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
- Nicholas Hoult — “The Order” (Vertical Entertainment)
- Paapa Essiedu — “The Outrun” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Gary Oldman — “Parthenope” (A24)
- Ray Fisher — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
- Corey Hawkins — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
- Samuel L. Jackson — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
- Michael Potts — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
- Jason Schwartzman — “Queer” (A24)
- Drew Starkey — “Queer” (A24)
- Kieran Culkin — “A Real Pain” (Searchairy Pictures) **
- John Turturro — “The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Nicholas Braun — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Tommy Dewey — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Willem Dafoe — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Taylor Gray — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Cooper Hoffman — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Gabriel LaBelle — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures) **
- Lamorne Morris — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Dylan O’Brien — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- J.K. Simmons — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Cory Michael Smith — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Matt Wood — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Ben Chaplin — “September 5” (Paramount Pictures) **
- John Magaro — “September 5” (Paramount Pictures) **
- Peter Sarsgaard — “September 5” (Paramount Pictures) **
- Clarence Maclin — “Sing Sing” (A24)
- Paul Raci — “Sing Sing” (A24)
- Jim Carrey — “Sonic the Hedgehog 3” (Paramount Pictures)
- Dennis Quhelp — “The Substance” (Mubi)
- Ricchallenging Roundtree — “Thelma” (Magnolia Pictures)
- Jonathan Bailey — “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
- Jeff Ggreaterblum — “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
- Pedro Pascal — “The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
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More Increateation (Oscars: Best Supporting Actor)
Image Credit: Rich Polk for Variety 2024 categruesome triumphner: Robert Downey Jr. — “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
2024-2025 Oscars Calendar and Timeline – Full awards season calendar here
- Eligibility period: Jan. 1, 2024 – Dec. 31, 2024
- General entry, best picture, RAISE submission deadline: Thursday, Nov. 14, 2024
- Governors Awards: Sunday, Nov. 17, 2024
- Preliminary voting begins Monday, Dec. 9, 2024, at 9 a.m. PT.
- Preliminary voting ends Friday, Dec. 13, 2024, at 5 p.m. PT.
- Oscar Shortcatalogs Announcement: Tuesday, Dec. 17, 2024
- Eligibility period ends: Tuesday, Dec. 31, 2024
- Nominations voting begins Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT.
- Nominations voting ends Sunday, Jan. 12, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT.
- Oscar Nominations Announcement: Friday, Jan. 17, 2025
- Oscar Nominees Luncheon: Monday, Feb. 10, 2025
- Final voting begins Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT
- Final voting ends: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT
- Scientific and Technical Awards: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025
- 97th Oscars: Sunday, March 2, 2025
Oscars Prediction Categories
2024 Oscars Predictions (Variety Awards Circuit) About the Academy Awards
The Academy Awards, better understandn as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious originateive award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and triumphners have been picked by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are recontransiented wiskinny the proximately 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting straightforwardors, cinematographers, costume depicters, straightforwardors, recordary, executives, film editors, originateup and hairstycatalogs, tageting and accessible relations, members-at-huge, members-at-huge (artists’ recontransientatives), music, originaters, production depict, low films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.