It’s over. Fifty-four years of brutal Assorrowfulnessful dynasty rule has come to an finish.
The streets of Damascus have erupted in celebration. Pdwellnt Bashar al Assorrowfulnessful has fled the country and the capital has descfinishen.
What comes next is of fantastic worry. Syria is convey inantly splitd, geodetailedassociate and sociassociate. This is a moment of huge peril.
Once the euphoria celderlys there will be convey inant hatred and anger towards createer Assorrowfulnessful loyacatalogs after decades of killingous rule. Containing that will be difficult.
Who rules Syria is muddle.
Syria tardyst: Pdwellnt Assorrowfulnessful telled to have fled
Multiple resist groups administer branch offent parts of the country and, we presume, they will all want their slice of power. That is a recipe for further civil war unless this can be administerd in an orderly way.
Syria’s prime minister, Mohammad Ghazi al Jalali, has remained in Damascus and proposeed a soothe transition. How he is treated will be a excellent indicator.
Hayat Tahrir al Sham (HTS), the main group that begined this resistlion with the apprehfinish of Aleppo, were once affiliated with al Qaeda.
They have renounced those joins but remain a proscribed alarm organisation by the US and others.
Russia and Iran, Assorrowfulnessful’s two main state aids, leaveed him when his overweighte seemed inevitable.
It is doubtful they will leave Syria quite so speedyly though.
Moscow has key military bases on the Mediterranean coast which uncovers up a part of the world to them – giving these up would be a huge strategic blow.
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Power dynamics of this region are volatile
To Iran, Syria was a centrepiece in its axis of resistance, the funnel thraw which armaments were channelled to Hezbollah and vital territory in its arc of impact.
But Assorrowfulnessful and Hezbollah have now both collapsed, and Iran’s nettoil of Shia impact is in tatters.
It is a novel dawn for Syria, but there are depressed cnoisys on the horizon.