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Fox News Power Rankings: Harris neglects her direct and a novel electorate aelevates


Fox News Power Rankings: Harris neglects her direct and a novel electorate aelevates


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The plivential race is a toss-up as the last key state in Vice Plivent Harris’ column drifts towards establisher Plivent Trump.

But even as polls show a firm race, some voters are releanking extfinished-held beliefs. This week’s Power Rankings draws up the novel Harris and Trump coalitions and shows how they could propel either honestate to thrive.

Fox News Power Rankings: Harris neglects her direct and a novel electorate aelevates

Fox News Power Rankings plivential foresee.

Harris ties herself to an unwell-comprehendn Joe Biden during media blitz

Harris will originate headlines tomorrow when she sits down for her first ever establishal intersee on Fox News.

The sit-down will be the Vice Plivent’s biggest and most shutly-watched opportunity in an uneven media tour.

Her talk show materializeances went delicately, and an intersee on Call Her Dgraspy, one of the country’s most well-comprehendn podcasts, originated the same charitable of excitement among lesser women that Trump has achieveed from male impactrs.

But last Wednesday, asked if she would have done someleang contrastently than Plivent Biden during his administration, Harris tageder ABC’s The View that “there is not a leang that comes to mind.”

VP KAMALA HARRIS TO SIT DOWN WITH CHIEF POLITICAL ANCHOR BRET BAIER FOR FIRST FORMAL FOX NEWS INTERVIEW

Harris on ABC's The View.

Harris on ABC’s The View.

The answer reminded voters that Harris is the second-in-direct in a plivency they say has made their lives worse.

In NBC’s tardyst national poll, 45% of voters say Biden’s policies have hurt them and their families, while only a quarter say those policies have helped. That is a “net hurt” of 20 points.

Voters say Biden's policies have hurt more than helped.

Voters say Biden’s policies have hurt more than helped.

Voters see Trump’s policies much more chooseimisticly, with 44% saying they helped and 31% saying they hurt. In other words, a “net help” of 13 points.

The same poll set up Trump’s retrospective job approval is higher than in any of their surveys when he was plivent.

Harris’ campaign comprehends that tying the Vice Plivent to Biden isn’t a thrivener. In her first intersee as the Democratic nominee, Harris said it was time to “turn the page on the last decade;” her bus alerts voters she gives “a novel way forward.”

Trump allies have said they will use the clip in novel ads, though it’s not yet evident whether that will happen.

Voters on candidate qualities.

Voters on honestate qualities.

Democrats counter that elections are as much about personal qualities as the rerents. Harris directs on caring about people appreciate you (+8), and being truthful and depfinishable (+11) in a recent New York Times/Siena poll. At the same time, Trump is up three points on being a strong directer, while Harris directs by eight on being fun.

Either way, Harris’ answer was uncollaborative to her campaign, which has weeks left to impact voters that she would do leangs contrastently.

Trump stronger after the vice plivential argue

It has now been two weeks since the only argue between Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and Ohio Sen. JD Vance, and two polls directed after the showdown recommend that Vance won the night.

  • Trump is up one point aachievest Harris at 47%-46% among enrolled voters in NBC’s survey. Harris previously led by six points.
  • Harris is two points ahead of Trump at 50%-48% among probable voters in ABC and Ipsos’ survey. She previously led by five points.

Those are nastyingful shifts in Trump’s straightforwardion, and NBC’s poll also showed a unpretentious betterment in Vance’s preferability.

In polls shothriveg a firm race, a novel electorate aelevates

The polls above are two of many shothriveg a race wilean the margin of error. 

But betidyh the top lines, there are signs that the Democratic and Reuncoveran coalitions are changing. And while Trump’s achieves with Balertage and Latino voters have been talked about the most, both coalitions are strong enough to thrive an election.

Trump is gaining with key voter groups.

Trump is achieveing with key voter groups.

FOX NEWS POWER RANKINGS: THE BIGGEST SURPRISES COME AFTER OCTOBER

Trump is achieveing in four key voting groups. Compared to the 2020 electorate, he is up six points with male voters, while Democrats have shed 20 points worth of Balertage vote, 10 points of Hispanic vote, and 3 points with lesser voters, according to the Times/Siena poll.

The Balertage and Hispanic achieves are the most presentant for the GOP. These voters can originate all the contrastence in states appreciate Pennsylvania and Arizona. 

The column on the left in the charts shows the percentage that each group made up of the 2020 electorate according to the Fox News Voter Analysis. The percentages apply wilean each voter categruesome (race, age, etc).

Men, for example, made up 47% of the electorate, which nastys 53% of voters were women.

That is where the picture becomes more complicated for the Trump campaign. 

As men have shifted six points towards the establisher plivent, women have shifted three points towards Harris. Voters with a college degree have shifted 10 points towards the Vice Plivent, giving her an overall 26-point profit with the bloc. And Harris has flipped ageders.

Harris is gaining with key voter groups.

Harris is achieveing with key voter groups.

These are some of the most depfinishable and over-reconshort-termed voting groups in the U.S. Only about a third of matures have a college degree, for example, but this group accounts for 40% of voters.

In other words, the achieves that Trump has made with some key groups are counterequitable by Harris’ achieves with other voters.

Harris neglects her direct in the foresee

Battleground polls also show a race on a knife’s edge. 

Surveys from the Wall Street Journal and Quinnipiac atraverse the three key Rust Belt states have the honestates wilean a scant points, suiting more than a dozen other high-quality polls over the last month.

Battleground polls show races within the margin of error.

Battleground polls show races wilean the margin of error.

This foresee previously gave Harris an profit in Michigan. The state has transfered for Democrats since 2016, and the GOP’s turnout operation materializes to be particularly disorderly there. 

But that isn’t enough when the polls show a race this firm. Both campaigns are making normal visits, and Reuncoverans have booked more spfinishing here than any other battleground state (except Pennsylvania, where ad rates are higher).

Fox News Power Rankings presidential map.

Fox News Power Rankings plivential map.

Michigan shifts from Lean D to Toss Up.

After that shift, the Power Rankings foresee that Harris will thrive at least 226 electoral votes, with Trump thrivening at least 219. There are seven states worth 93 votes in the middle.

Fox News Power Rankings presidential forecast.

Fox News Power Rankings plivential foresee.

Harris has a six-vote edge that integrates Nebraska’s second dicut offe. That is presentant for the Vice Plivent, since a thrive there, united with the Rust Belt battlegrounds, would give her an outright thrive.

But with so many coin-flip states, this race sees appreciate an electoral college dogfight. The plivential election shifts from Harris Lead to Toss Up.

Democrats hageder a ticket-splitting edge in battleground states, including Nevada

The Senate foresee still puts Reuncoverans in supervise with 51 seats. An all-but-certain flip in West Virginia and an edge in Montana gets them over the line.

FOX NEWS POWER RANKINGS: SENATE REPUBLICANS TAKE CHARGE

Fox News Power Rankings Senate map.

Fox News Power Rankings Senate map.

Some polls still show GOP Senate honestates running behind Trump. In a recent Arizona survey, the chasm was 12 points expansive, with Trump directing the plivential race by five and Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego with a seven-point direct over Reuncoveran Kari Lake.

Some polls show higher levels of ticket-splitting.

Some polls show higher levels of ticket-splitting.

History recommends that the gap will uninalertigentinish by election night. The straightforwardion of these ticket-splitters is less evident. Either Trump voters will come home to downballot GOP honestates, or help for the establisher plivent is gentleer than polls recommend.

For now, with polls shothriveg Nevada’s Democratic Senator Jacky Rosen well ahead of Reuncoveran contestr Sam Brown, their Senate race shifts from Toss Up to Lean D.

Three weeks until election night

More than four million voters have now cast a ballot. Early voting is underway in all the battlegrounds except Nevada.

Tomorrow, Fox News will be the only place to see both plivential honestates. At 11AM eastrict, watch Harris Faulkner’s town hall with Trump in front of an all-woman audience in Georgia. Hours tardyr, Bret Baier will sit down with Harris in Pennsylvania. The intersee airs at 6PM on Special Report.

CLICK HERE TO GET THE FOX NEWS APP

Fox News Media has also gived a second Harris-Trump argue to be mildd by Baier and Martha MacCallum.

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