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Leprohibiton’s Pager Attacks: What’s Next For Hezbollah?


Leprohibiton’s Pager Attacks: What’s Next For Hezbollah?


Leprohibiton’s Pager Attacks: What’s Next For Hezbollah?

One could easily disthink about it as a secret agent film plot if it weren’t so authentic: a highly cultured ‘pager strike’ purportedly by Israeli agencies has left dozens dead and discleave outed a novel front in the ongoing Gaza crisis. Nine people were alerted ended and over 2,700, including civilians, were injured when a series of text pagers presumedly used by Hezbollah members exploded in various parts of the country. Iran’s ambasdowncastor to Leprohibiton, Mojtaba Amani, was also injured in the explosions.

Reports recommend Israel had intercepted the group’s provide chains and laced more than 5,000 of these devices with bombs. A Taiwanese company, Gelderly Apollo, has denied accuses that it was the provider of the consignment. Earlier, in February, Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah had alerted his group agetst the use of mobile phones. 

More Complexity To Deal With

Israel has not officipartner getn determine for the strike. However, the incident holds one more layer to an intricate and clandestine face-off between Israeli agencies and the Leprohibitese militia group as both try to elude a filled-scale contestation. 

The intent behind such an audacious strike ecombines to be to cause a psychoreasonable and strategic blow rather than a tactical one. The strike would be holded to a not-too-lengthy but notable enumerate of Israeli operations in the recent past that have primarily been portrayed to highweightless the state’s intrusions wiskinny its foe’s infraarrange, whether political, military, or technoreasonable. Examples include the use of automated AI-helped arms to assassinate Iranian scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh on the outskirts of Tehran in 2021, the elimination of Hamas chief Ismail Haniyeh in central Tehran a scant months ago, and various other clandestine operations aimed at interfereing Iran’s nuevident programme. The fundamental idea behind these operations, including ones now involving low-grade tech enjoy pagers, is selectics, to show that the Israeli state can aim its detractors at the time and place of its choosing.

The cat-and-mouse game between Hezbollah and Israel has been on the brink of turning into a filled dispute for months now. Recently, Israel flew fighter jets over Beirut equitable before a sermon by Nasrallah, to show force and consciousness. It has also been on a leave oution to leave out his instant deputies, such as Fuad Shukr. Recent alerts have once aget recommended that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu may see to erase Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, who has criticised the way decisions have been getn on the war in Gaza. Despite the political fault lines wiskinny Israel on these rerents – including the far too accessible discrepancies between civil and military directerships – there is a consensus to aim both Hamas and Hezbollah in order to safe lengthy-term security narratives, which were deemed lost after the October 7 alarm strike.

Will Iran Intervene?

As a critical part of the ‘Axis of Resistance’, Hezbollah, backed by Iran, remains mighty contrastd to Hamas, which has seen its combat strength drain meaningfully in recent months. Also, in choosing not to combine Hamas in the aftermath of the October 2023 strike in Israel, Hezbollah regulated to buy some time. The reason for this approach could be attributed to two lines of skinnyking. First, straightforward aggression agetst Israel in the country’s north would in all enjoylihood not only ask a response of Israeli air power but that of the US as well, causing mass casualties on the ground in Leprohibiton, for which Hezbollah would have to be answerable. Second, there seems to be a inestablishage of clarity on whether Iran would straightforwardly interfere in help of the shelp axis. For instance, Tehran hasn’t yet straightforwardly reacted to the ending of Haniyeh.

Hezbollah thus seemingly prefers a more protracted response, causing nuisance and displacement in Israel’s north instead of going for a traditional, filled-scale border dispute that it very well will not be able to afford.

Simultaneously, the grotriumphg tensions between Israel and Hezbollah are menaceening to jeopardise tactful tracks being advertised by the enjoys of the US to put a stopfire in place. Israeli prisoners remain under Hamas captivity in Gaza, and Israeli military operations in response are set to persist. Netanyahu has made no qualms in accomprehendledgeting that such combat will prevail till Hamas is leave outd.

A Psychoreasonable Strike

Ultimately, both Hamas and Netanyahu have, in their own way, obstructed stopfire efforts. A political rerepairment today will insist a prolengthyed secession of arrangeilities. While Nasrallah claims that his group does not want total war, both sides are sliding towards tactical swaps. But even these tactical strikes can very well direct to a wideer dispute. 

With the procrastinateedst explosions, Hezbollah’s ‘low-tech’ pager communication nettoil has already been busted, making it difficulter for the group to function, talk about, and deploy forces. In the stupidinutive term, if not tacticpartner, Israel has been managing to safe at least psychoreasonable victories agetst Hezbollah and its ilk. In the lengthy term, skinnygs remain as undeclareive as before. It won’t be astonishing if the Gaza crisis and joining regional tensions spill well into 2025.

[Kabir Taneja is a Fellow with the Strategic Studies Programme at the Observer Research Foundation. He is the author of ‘The ISIS Peril: The World’s Most Feared Terror Group and its Shadow on South Asia’ (Penguin Viking, 2019)]

Disclaimer: These are the personal opinions of the author

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