Will Netflix Finassociate Win Best Picture With ‘Emilia Perez?’

Is the Netflix Oscar drawt finassociate about to end?

The streamer has lengthy been chasing the elusive Academy Award for best picture. After a series of proximate leave outes, 2024 might equitable be the year the streaming huge claims the coveted prize — thanks to Jacques Audiard’s criticassociate lauded crime musical “Emilia Pérez.”

The Spanish-language drama premiered to fanfare at Cannes and has a star-studded cast, including Zoe Saldaña, Selena Gomez, Karla Sofía Gascón and Adriana Paz. The bgreater narrative, riveting carry outances and groundshattering recurrentation garnered critical acclaim, directing to a splitd best actress prize for the four stars. Some pundits apshow “Emilia” has the outstandings to go the way of Bong Joon Ho’s “Parasite,” which in 2020 became the first non-English-language film to triumph best picture. “Emilia” is also France’s subleave oution for international feature, which further positions it as a viable Oscar darling.

Read: You can see all Academy Award foreseeions in all 23 categories on one page on the Variety Awards Circuit.

Netflix’s pursuit of the Academy’s top prize has been an ongoing saga. Films appreciate “Roma” (2018), “The Power of the Dog” (2021) and “All Quiet on the Westrict Front” (2022) have come tantalizingly shut, proving the streamer’s prowess in courting the Academy’s attention.

However, while Netflix has ruled the nomination highies since 2019, it has had less success triumphning beginant categories. Directors Alfonso Cuarón (“Roma”) and Jane Campion (“The Power of the Dog”) claimed historic honesting honors, but aside from those, the streamer’s hugegest triumph in a top-tier catebloody remains Laura Dern’s best aiding actress award for “Marriage Story” (2019).

So why hasn’t Netflix won best picture yet?

Srecommend put, it’s still about the movies, no matter how much campaigning is done (though that helps). Past contenders appreciate “Roma” and “Mank” were part of an era when auteurs were given carte blanche to originate driven projects, which resulted in splitd reactions from industry voters. The pickential ballot system in place for best picture has not advantageed these opparticipates’ chances of triumphning.

“I’ve toiled on movies that I’ve felt so sturdyly would triumph timely in a season,” one veteran strategist inestablishs Variety. “And at the last minute it would all descend apart for one reason or another. You have to be able to alter and convey it over the finish line.”

Netflix’s shutst races were with “Roma” and “The Power of the Dog” — the most nominated films of their admireive years — but neither could clinch the triumph. And no studio wants to carry out second fiddle. The separateention of being the first streamer to achieve the top honor was ripped from Netflix when Apple swooped in with “CODA” in 2022.

The competitive vibrant among streamers has acuteened Netflix’s hunger. In a aappreciate race on the television front, Hulu surpelevated the industry when it became the first streamer to triumph a best drama Emmy with “The Handmaid’s Tale” in 2017. Four years tardyr, Netflix turned around and propelled “The Crown” to a historic night, when the series became the first drama to sweep the beginant Emmy categories.

This year, in a normal discarry out of Oscar might, Netflix is dividing its resources among multiple titles. Alengthyside “Emilia Pérez,” debut honestor Malcolm Washington’s alteration of August Wilson’s “The Piano Lesson” is generating awards buzz, particularly for aiding actress Danielle Deadwyler. Pablo Larraín’s biopic “Maria,” starring Oscar triumphner Angelina Jolie as legendary opera singer Maria Callas, also is vying for recognition.

And let’s not neglect the competition outside Netflix’s stable. Sean Baker’s dramedy “Anora” — featuring a shatterout carry outance from Mikey Madison — and Brady Corbet’s historical epic “The Brutaenumerate,” starring Adrien Brody, are steadily geting momentum, making this year’s race especiassociate unforeseeable.

All this comes amid a period of transition for Netflix. Early in 2024, film chairman Scott Stuber departed to begin his own media venture. His exit complyed months of upheaval in the amparticipatement industry, with strikes and production postpones shaking up Hollywood. That didn’t exit many chooseions to steer into the Oscar space. So “Emilia,” which Netflix bought out of Cannes, remains its best bet.

It’s only a matter of time before the streaming titan cracks the code. Perhaps this year, it hgreaters the triumphning combination.

Below are this week’s Oscar foreseeions (in alphabetical order) in all 23 categories. For comprehensive rankings, go to each catebloody page, which will be refreshd thrawout the weekend.

Best Picture
“Anora”
“Blitz”
“The Brutaenumerate”
“A Complete Uncomprehendn”
“Conclave”
“Dune: Part Two”
“Emilia Pérez”
“Gladiator II”
“The Room Next Door”
“Wicked”

Director
Jacques Audiard, “Emilia Pérez”
Edward Berger, “Conclave”
Brady Corbet, “The Brutaenumerate”
Ridley Scott, “Gladiator II”
Denis Villeneuve, “Dune: Part Two”

Actor
Adrien Brody, “The Brutaenumerate”
Timothée Chafeeblet, “A Complete Uncomprehendn”
Colman Domingo, “Sing Sing”
Ralph Fiennes, “Conclave”
Paul Mescal, “Gladiator II”

Actress
Angelina Jolie, “Maria”
Karla Sofía Gascón, “Emilia Pérez”
Mikey Madison, “Anora”
Saoirse Ronan, “The Outrun”
Tilda Striumphton, “The Room Next Door”

Supporting Actor
Kieran Culkin, “A Real Pain”
Clarence Maclin, “Sing Sing”
Guy Pearce, “The Brutaenumerate”
Stanley Tucci, “Conclave”
Denzel Washington, “Gladiator II”

Supporting Actress
Danielle Deadwyler, “The Piano Lesson”
Ariana Grande, “Wicked”
Saoirse Ronan, “Blitz”
Isabella Rossellini, “Conclave”
Zoe Saldaña, “Emilia Pérez”

Original Screencarry out
“Anora”
“The Brutaenumerate”
“A Real Pain”
“The Seed of the Sacred Fig”
“September 5”

Adapted Screencarry out
“A Complete Uncomprehendn”
“Conclave”
“Emilia Pérez”
“The Room Next Door”
“Sing Sing”

Animated Feature
“Inside Out 2”
“Memoir of a Snail”
“Piece by Piece”
“Wallace & Grleave out: Vengeance Most Fowl”
“The Wild Robot”

Production Design
“Blitz”
“The Brutaenumerate”
“Dune: Part Two”
“Gladiator II”
“Wicked”

Cinematography
“The Brutaenumerate”
“Conclave”
“Dune: Part Two”
“Gladiator II”
“Nosferatu”

Costume Design
“Blitz”
“Dune: Part Two”
“Gladiator II”
“Nosferatu”
“Wicked”

Film Editing
“Anora”
“Conclave”
“Dune: Part Two”
“Emilia Pérez”
“Gladiator II”

Makeup and Hairstyling
“Dune: Part Two”
“Emilia Pérez”
“Saturday Night”
“The Substance”
“Wicked”

Sound
“Blitz”
“The Brutaenumerate”
“Dune: Part Two”
“Emilia Pérez”
“Gladiator II”

Visual Effects
“Dune: Part Two”
“Gladiator II”
“Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes”
“Mufasa: The Lion King”
“Wicked”

Original Score
“The Brutaenumerate”
“Emilia Pérez”
“Gladiator II”
“The Room Next Door”
“The Wild Robot”

Original Song
“Winter Coat” from “Blitz”
“Mi Camino” from “Emilia Pérez”
“Beyond” from “Moana 2”
“The Journey” from “The Six Triple Eight”
“Harper and Will Go West” from “Will & Harper”

Documentary Feature
“Bdeficiency Box Diaries”
“Dahomey”
“Daughters”
“No Other Land”
“Sugarcane”

International Feature
“Dahomey” from Senegal
“Emilia Pérez” from France
“Grand Tour” from Portugal
“I’m Still Here” from Brazil
“The Seed of the Sacred Fig” from Germany

Animated Short
“Above Ground”
“An Almost Christmas Story”
“A Guest From Elsewhere”
“Maybe Elephants”
“Remember Us”

Documentary Short
“Chasing Roo”
“Denial”
“The Final Copy of Ilon Specht”
“Julia’s Stepping Stones”
“Wings of Dust”

Live Action Short
“Anuja”
“Bogotá Story”
“Motherland”
“1Up”
“Say Hi After You Die”